Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.438618 0.481152 0.526701 0.579226 0.638265 0.702741 0.778702
2025-11-16 0.371469 0.431108 0.499531 0.584346 0.687350 0.809276 0.965839
2025-11-23 0.327821 0.394804 0.475251 0.579983 0.714198 0.882431 1.112474
2025-11-30 0.299632 0.371667 0.461421 0.583047 0.746020 0.960433 1.269968
2025-12-07 0.273266 0.347203 0.442145 0.575150 0.760182 1.013894 1.397860
2025-12-14 0.251778 0.326615 0.425260 0.567551 0.772219 1.063513 1.523820
2025-12-21 0.229679 0.303143 0.402121 0.548460 0.765029 1.083337 1.605726
2025-12-28 0.219917 0.295564 0.399862 0.558161 0.799695 1.167303 1.796234
2026-01-04 0.210545 0.287673 0.396275 0.565141 0.830230 1.247169 1.989424
2026-01-11 0.201228 0.279093 0.390863 0.568562 0.854984 1.319587 2.178565
2026-01-18 0.192481 0.270686 0.384962 0.570465 0.877004 1.389061 2.370940
2026-01-25 0.185350 0.264159 0.381321 0.575398 0.904042 1.469245 2.593442
2026-02-01 0.174557 0.251608 0.367851 0.563774 0.902617 1.500328 2.728165
2026-02-08 0.168435 0.245871 0.364630 0.568745 0.930316 1.586922 2.987160
2026-02-15 0.160836 0.237356 0.356399 0.564524 0.941051 1.642681 3.190091
2026-02-22 0.155356 0.231850 0.352608 0.567489 0.964861 1.725664 3.464593
2026-03-01 0.148190 0.223242 0.343192 0.559846 0.968056 1.767999 3.654011
2026-03-08 0.141614 0.215247 0.334321 0.552493 0.971031 1.809952 3.849019
2026-03-15 0.133455 0.204269 0.319847 0.534014 0.950781 1.801351 3.920084
2026-03-22 0.130808 0.202290 0.320557 0.543404 0.986398 1.915326 4.317078
2026-03-29 0.127855 0.199634 0.319916 0.550160 1.017198 2.022263 4.716365
2026-04-05 0.124504 0.196130 0.317576 0.553471 1.041082 2.116337 5.099389
2026-04-12 0.121114 0.192391 0.314603 0.555312 1.061949 2.205790 5.487498